{"id":125,"date":"2026-06-19T02:04:55","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T02:04:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/40.233.122.247\/?p=125"},"modified":"2026-06-19T02:04:55","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T02:04:55","slug":"2026-06-18-%ec%bd%94%ec%8a%a4%ed%94%bc-%ec%8b%9c%ed%99%a9-%ec%b4%9d%ec%a0%95%eb%a6%ac-%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98-%ed%95%9c%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%95%9c%eb%88%88%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/?p=125","title":{"rendered":"2026.06.18 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c \uc2dc\ud669 \ucd1d\uc815\ub9ac \u2014 \uc624\ub298 \ud55c\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \uc804\ub9dd \ud55c\ub208\uc5d0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>                    <!-- System - START --><\/p>\n<p>        <!-- System - END --><\/p>\n<div class=\"tt_article_useless_p_margin contents_style\">\n<h2>\u26a1 TL;DR<\/h2>\n<ol style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\">\n<li><b>\uc6cc\uc2dc\uc758 \uccab FOMC\uac00 &#8216;\ub9e4\ud30c \ucda9\uaca9&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/b> \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 3.50~3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0(12-0)\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uc911\uc559\uac12\uc774 <b>2026\ub144 \ub9d0 3.8%<\/b> &mdash; \ud604 \uae08\ub9ac\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc704\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc911\uc559\uac12\uc774 \uc774\uc81c <i>\uc778\ud558<\/i>\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c <b>\uc778\uc0c1<\/b>\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. 18\uba85 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 \uc5f0\ub0b4 \uc778\uc0c1, \uadf8\uc911 6\uba85\uc740 2\ud68c\ub97c \ucc0d\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li><b>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc7a5\uc740 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uace0 \uae09\ub77d \ub9c8\uac10.<\/b> S&amp;P -1.21%(7,420.10), \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 -1.34%(26,021.66), \ub2e4\uc6b0 -0.98%(51,492.55). MS&middot;\uba54\ud0c0&middot;\uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3&middot;\uc544\ub9c8\uc874 \ube45\ud14c\ud06c\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc624\ub298(6\/18 \ubaa9) \ud55c\uad6d\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c FOMC\ub97c \ucc98\uc74c \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uccab \uc138\uc158\uc774\ub2e4.<\/b> \uc5b4\uc81c \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c\ub294 FOMC \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804 \uc57d 8,710\uc73c\ub85c 4\uc77c \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uba48\ucdc4\ub2e4. <b>\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc3e0\ub9bc(\uc0bc\uc131+\ud558\uc774\ub2c9\uc2a4 &asymp; \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c 42%)<\/b> \uacfc \uc5f0\ucd08 \ub300\ube44 +78% \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \uc624\ub298\uc758 \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc644\ucda9\uc7ac\ub294 \ub450 \uac1c &mdash; \uc6d0\ud654\uc640 \uc720\uac00.<\/b> \uc6d0\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d 1,508\ub85c 3\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc57d(1,560)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc9c0\uc18d. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\ub294 $79 \uc544\ub798\ub85c 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d, \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\uad70. <b>\uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \uc7a0\uc815\ud569\uc758<\/b> \uc608\uc815.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uccb4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 \uc678\uad6d\uc778&middot;\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4&middot;\uae08\ub9ac.<\/b> \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc5ec\ubd80, 10Y 4.46%\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825, \uc0bc\uc131&middot;\ud558\uc774\ub2c9\uc2a4 \uc2dc\ucd08\uac00, \uc6d0\/\ub2ec\ub7ec 1,500\uc120 \ubc29\uc5b4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\uc548\ub155\ud558\uc138\uc694, \uce94\uc11c\ubc29\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\uad6d\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc804\uc5d0 \ubc24\uc0ac\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d&middot;\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uc624\ub298 \ud55c\uad6d\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcfc \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub97c \uce74\ub4dc 5\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uba3c\uc800 \uc815\ub9ac\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc790\uc138\ud55c \ud574\uc124\uc740 \uce74\ub4dc \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wcs-carousel\">\n<div class=\"wcs-track\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/18fbcd67eec1b25f.png\" alt=\"\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/2d77d79674d16dcf.png\" alt=\"\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/454ad932200e0c01.png\" alt=\"\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/e2040087eca62154.png\" alt=\"\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/1d8c1147ca37228f.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/div>\n<div class=\"wcs-count\">1 \/ 5<\/div>\n<p><button class=\"wcs-prev\" aria-label=\"\uc774\uc804\">\u2039<\/button><button class=\"wcs-next\" aria-label=\"\ub2e4\uc74c\">\u203a<\/button><\/p>\n<div class=\"wcs-dots\"><span><\/span><span><\/span><span><\/span><span><\/span><span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>1. \ubbf8\uad6d&middot;\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub9c8\uac10 \uc815\ub9ac (6\/17 ET \ub9c8\uac10 &rarr; \ud55c\uad6d 6\/18 06:00 KST)<\/h2>\n<p><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b> 6\/17(\uc218) \ubbf8\uad6d \ub9c8\uac10 &mdash; FOMC \ub9e4\ud30c \ubc18\uc751<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\uc9c0\uc218<\/th>\n<th>\uc885\uac00<\/th>\n<th>\ub4f1\ub77d<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>S&amp;P 500<\/td>\n<td>7,420.10<\/td>\n<td><b>-1.21%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc885\ud569<\/td>\n<td>26,021.66<\/td>\n<td><b>-1.34%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\ub2e4\uc6b0<\/td>\n<td>51,492.55 (-507p)<\/td>\n<td><b>-0.98%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b> \ube45\ud14c\ud06c \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc57d\uc138 &mdash; \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\uc18c\ud504\ud2b8&middot;\uba54\ud0c0&middot;\uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3&middot;\uc544\ub9c8\uc874 \ubaa8\ub450 \ud558\ub77d \ub9c8\uac10. \ub9e4\ud30c \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 <i>\uc778\ud558 \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ubd84<\/i>\uc744 \ub418\uac10\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \uace0PER&middot;\uc7a5\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud06c\uac8c \ub9de\uc558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b> 10\ub144 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc744 \uc9c0\uc6b0\uace0 **\uc57d 4.46%**\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uc654\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uacb0\uc778\ub370\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc548 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac74 <i>\uacbd\ub85c<\/i>\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38.<\/li>\n<li><b>[\uad00\uce21]<\/b> \uc5b4\uc81c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc7a5\uc740 <i>&#8216;\uacb0\uc815&rarr;\uc2e4\ub9dd&#8217;<\/i> \ud328\ud134. \ub3d9\uacb0\uc740 \uc54c\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc73c\ub098 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc600\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>2. \uc624\ub298\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud55c \uac00\uc9c0 &mdash; \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uc911\uc559\uac12\uc774 &#8216;\uc778\uc0c1&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \ub118\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4<\/h2>\n<p><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><b>\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0<\/b>: 3.50~3.75%, \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58 12-0.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c<\/b>: 18\uba85 \uc911 <b>9\uba85\uc774 \uc5f0\ub0b4 1\ud68c \uc774\uc0c1 \uc778\uc0c1<\/b>, \uadf8\uc911 <b>6\uba85\uc740 2\ud68c<\/b>. <b>2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc911\uc559\uac12 3.8%<\/b> (3\uc6d4 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud5a5, \ud604 \uae08\ub9ac\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 0.25%p \uc704).<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc790\uae30 \uc810\uc744 \uc81c\ucd9c\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4<\/b> &mdash; \uacfc\uac70 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ube44\ud310\uacfc \uc77c\uad00.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc131\uba85\uc11c\uac00 \ub300\ud3ed \uc9e7\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/b> \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 &#8220;\uad6c\uc2dd \ubb38\uad6c\uc640 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uac77\uc5b4\ub0b4\uace0 \ub370\uc774\ud130&middot;\ubaa9\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911&#8221;\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc6b4\uc601(\uc18c\ud1b5&middot;\ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c \ub4f1)\uc744 \uc190\ubcfc <b>5\uac1c \ud0dc\uc2a4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc2a4<\/b> \ucd9c\ubc94\ub3c4 \uc608\uace0.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>[\ud574\uc11d]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\ud575\uc2ec\uc740 <i>\uae08\ub9ac \ub808\ubca8\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uacbd\ub85c\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658<\/i>\uc774\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 &#8216;\uc5f0\ub0b4 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558&#8217;\uc600\ub358 \uc911\uc559\uac12\uc774 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0 <b>&#8216;\uc5f0\ub0b4 \uc778\uc0c1&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \ub118\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4.<\/b> \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808(5\uc6d4 CPI 4.2%)\ub97c \uc815\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638.<\/li>\n<li>\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc5b4\ub85d &mdash; &#8220;2% \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub97c \ub2ec\uc131\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\uc9c0\ub294 \uac15\ud558\uace0, \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\uc774\uba70, \ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c 5\ub144\uac04 \ub193\ucce4\ub358 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uc774\uace0 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\uac78 \uace0\uce60 \uac83&#8221;\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ud1a4\uc744 \uc555\ucd95\ud55c\ub2e4. <b>\ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc758\uc874 + \ub9e4\ud30c \ud3b8\ud5a5<\/b>.<\/li>\n<li>\ud55c\uad6d \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uac8c \uc65c \uc911\uc694\ud55c\uac00 &mdash; \ub9e4\ud30c \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \u2460 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc555\ub825(\uc6d0\ud654 \ubd80\ub2f4) \u2461 \uace0PER \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc(=\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4) \ubc38\ub958 \uc555\ubc15 \u2462 \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \uc790\uae08\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c, \uc138 \uacbd\ub85c\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc628\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c\uac00 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc2dc\ud5d8\uc774 \ubc14\ub85c \uc774\uac83.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>3. \ud55c\uad6d \ubcc0\uc218 &mdash; \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc3e0\ub9bc + \uc5f0\ucd08 +78%\uac00 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4<\/h2>\n<p><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\uc5b4\uc81c <b>\ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c \uc57d 8,710<\/b> (FOMC \uc804, 4\uc77c \ub7a0\ub9ac \uba48\ucda4). \uc5f0\ucd08 \ub300\ube44 <b>+78%<\/b>.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc0bc\uc131\uc804\uc790+SK\ud558\uc774\ub2c9\uc2a4\uac00 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c\uc758 \uc57d 42.2%<\/b> (5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \ube44\uc911) &mdash; \uc3e0\ub9bc\uc774 \uace7 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc678\uad6d\uc778 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d<\/b>, \uac1c\uc778 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \uad6c\uc870. \uc6d0\/\ub2ec\ub7ec <b>\uc57d 1,508<\/b>(3\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc57d 1,560\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>[\uad00\uce21]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>SK\ud558\uc774\ub2c9\uc2a4\ub294 \uc5d4\ube44\ub514\uc544 \ucd5c\ub300 \uba54\ubaa8\ub9ac \ud30c\ud2b8\ub108 \uc9c0\uc704\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud558\uba70 \uc5f0\ucd08 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 250% \uae09\ub4f1, \uc2dc\ucd1d $1\uc870\ub97c \ub118\uae34 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. AI&middot;HBM \uc218\uae09\uc774 \ud55c\uad6d \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4\uc758 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ucd95.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>[\ud574\uc11d]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\uc624\ub298 \ud55c\uad6d\uc7a5\uc758 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc740 *&#8217;\ub9e4\ud30c FOMC\uac00 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\ub294\ub370, \uac00\uc7a5 \ube44\uc2f8\uace0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc624\ub978 \uc790\uc0b0(\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4)\uc774 \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \uc808\ubc18&#8217;*\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4. \ub9e4\ud30c \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc870\ud569\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc77c\ubc29\uc801 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e8\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \ub9d0 \uac83 &mdash; <b>\uc6d0\ud654 \ubc18\ub4f1\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc \uc644\ucda9\uc7ac<\/b>\ub85c \uc791\ub3d9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 <i>\ud658\uc728 \uc548\uc815<\/i> \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uba74 \uac15\ub3c4\uac00 \ub35c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. <b>\uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 &#8220;\uc678\uad6d\uc778 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uac15\ub3c4 vs \uac1c\uc778&middot;\uc6d0\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4&#8221;\uc758 \uc904\ub2e4\ub9ac\uae30.<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>4. \uac70\uc2dc \ubc30\uacbd &mdash; \uc5f0\uc900&middot;\uc720\uac00&middot;\ud658\uc728 \ud2b8\ub77c\uc774\uc575\uae00<\/h2>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><b>\ud83c\udfe6 \uc5f0\uc900(\ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658)<\/b>: \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uc911\uc559\uac12\uc774 \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9, 10Y 4.46%. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uccb4\uc81c = \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ucd95\uc18c&middot;\ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc758\uc874&middot;\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\uc120. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d4 <i>\uc5ed\ud48d<\/i>.<\/li>\n<li><b>\ud83d\udee2\ufe0f \uc720\uac00(\uae09\ub7ad)<\/b>: \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 $79 \uc544\ub798&middot;WTI $76 \uc544\ub798, 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d&middot;3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc800. <b>\uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \uc7a0\uc815\ud569\uc758<\/b>(60\uc77c \ud734\uc804 \uc5f0\uc7a5+\uc774\ub780 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c \uc989\uc2dc \uc7ac\uac1c+\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc644\ud654) \uc608\uc815. IEA\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 +800\ub9ccbpd vs \uc218\uc694 +200\ub9ccbpd\uc758 <b>\uacf5\uae09 \uacfc\uc789<\/b>\uc744 \uacbd\uace0 &mdash; \uc911\uae30 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ubc29.<\/li>\n<li><b>\ud83d\udcb1 \ud658\uc728(\uc6d0\ud654 \ubc18\ub4f1)<\/b>: \uc6d0\/\ub2ec\ub7ec 1,508. \uc548\uc804\uc120\ud638 \uc644\ud654\ub85c 1,560 \ubd80\uadfc \ucd5c\uc57d\uc5d0\uc11c \ud68c\ubcf5. \ub2e8, \ub9e4\ud30c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \uc904\ub2e4\ub9ac\uae30.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>[\ud574\uc11d]<\/b> <i>\ub098\uc05c \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c(\ub9e4\ud30c \uc5f0\uc900)<\/i> \uc640 <i>\uc88b\uc740 \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c(\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d&middot;\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808)<\/i> \uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911. \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9ac\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uac00 \ud480\ub9b4 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc0dd\uae34\ub2e4 &mdash; \uadf8 \uc2dc\ucc28\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc778\ud558 \uc7ac\uac1c\uc758 \ud0c0\uc774\ubc0d. \uc624\ub298\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c \ucabd\uc774 \uba3c\uc800 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uba74.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>5. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc7a5 (6\/18 KST) \uccb4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8<\/h2>\n<ol style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\">\n<li><b>\uc678\uad6d\uc778 \uc218\uae09<\/b> &mdash; \ub9e4\ud30c FOMC \ud6c4 \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \uac00\uc18d\ub418\ub098, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uc6d0\ud654 \uc548\uc815 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ub454\ud654\ud558\ub098. \uc624\ub298 \ud55c\uad6d\uc7a5 \ucd5c\ub300 \ubcc0\uc218.<\/li>\n<li><b>\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \ud22c\ud1b1 \uc2dc\ucd08\uac00<\/b> &mdash; \uc0bc\uc131&middot;SK\ud558\uc774\ub2c9\uc2a4\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube45\ud14c\ud06c&middot;\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub530\ub77c\uac00\ub098. \uc9c0\uc218 42% \ube44\uc911\uc774\ub77c \uace7 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c \ubc29\ud5a5.<\/li>\n<li><b>10Y \uae08\ub9ac&middot;\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/b> &mdash; \ubbf8 10Y\uac00 4.46% \uc704\ub85c \ub354 \ud280\uba74 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ubc15. DXY&middot;\uc6d0\/\ub2ec\ub7ec 1,500\uc120 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc5ec\ubd80.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc720\uac00&middot;\uae08\uc694\uc77c \ud569\uc758<\/b> &mdash; \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 $79 \uc544\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80, \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \uc7a0\uc815\ud569\uc758 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc0c1\ud669. \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\uad70\uc774 \uc0b4\uc544\uc788\ub098.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>\uc815\uc815 \uc0ac\ud56d<\/h2>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\uc5c6\uc74c. (\uc804\uc77c AM \ub9ac\ud3ec\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c KOSPI \ub2e8\uc77c \uc885\uac00\ub97c \ub2e8\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub358 \ubd80\ubd84 &mdash; 6\/17 \ud55c\uad6d\uc7a5 \uc885\uac00 \uc57d 8,710\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc778.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/06\/17\/nx-s1-5860084\/fed-chief-warsh-first-fomc-meeting\">NPR &mdash; Fed holds rates steady, hints at hike (Warsh first FOMC)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/economy\/federal-reserve-interest-rate-decision-june-17-2026\">Fox Business &mdash; Fed holds rates steady as Warsh era begins (6\/17)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/06\/17\/fed-meeting-today-live-updates.html\">CNBC &mdash; Fed meeting recap: Warsh task forces (6\/17)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/stock-market-today\/stock-market-today-dow-jones-sp-500-nasdaq-updates-june-17-2026\">TheStreet &mdash; Stock Market Today (June 17, 2026): S&amp;P, Nasdaq plummet<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/government-bond-yield\">TradingEconomics &mdash; US 10Y Treasury Yield<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/brent-crude-oil\">TradingEconomics &mdash; Brent Crude Oil<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/south-korea\/stock-market\">TradingEconomics &mdash; South Korea Stock Market (KOSPI)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/south-korea\/currency\">TradingEconomics &mdash; South Korean Won<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/27\/sk-hynix-shares-ai-chip-rally-1-trillion.html\">CNBC &mdash; SK Hynix hits $1 trillion valuation, AI chip rally<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/12\/tsmc-samsung-sk-hynixs-south-korea-taiwan-stocks-ai-chipmakers-concentration-risk.html\">CNBC &mdash; TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix concentration risk<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p><b>\ud83d\udccc \uc9c0\ub09c \uc2dc\ud669\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ubcf4\uae30<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/category\/%EB%AF%B8%EA%B5%AD%20%EC%9E%A5%EC%A0%84%20%EC%8B%9C%ED%99%A9\">\ubbf8\uad6d \uc7a5\uc804 \uc2dc\ud669 \ubaa8\uc544\ubcf4\uae30<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/category\/%ED%95%9C%EA%B5%AD%20%EC%9E%A5%EC%A0%84%20%EC%8B%9C%ED%99%A9\">\ud55c\uad6d \uc7a5\uc804 \uc2dc\ud669 \ubaa8\uc544\ubcf4\uae30<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\u203b \uc774 \uae00\uc740 \ud22c\uc790 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub3d5\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\ucc30&middot;\uc815\ub9ac\uc774\uba70, \ud2b9\uc815 \uc885\ubaa9\uc758 \ub9e4\uc218&middot;\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ucd94\ucc9c\uc774 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900\uc774\uba70 \ucd9c\ucc98\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\uc168\ub2e4\uba74 \uc544\ub798 \uad11\uace0 \ud55c \ubc88 \ub20c\ub7ec\uc8fc\uc2dc\uba74 \ube14\ub85c\uadf8 \uc6b4\uc601\uc5d0 \ud070 \ud798\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud83d\ude4f<\/p>\n<p><b>I can survive. We can survive.<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>                    <!-- System - START --><\/p>\n<p>        <!-- System - END --><\/p>\n<p><!-- inventory --><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u26a1 TL;DR \uc6cc\uc2dc\uc758 \uccab FOMC\uac00 &#8216;\ub9e4\ud30c \ucda9\uaca9&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 3.50~3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0(12-0)\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uc911\uc559\uac12\uc774 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 3.8% &mdash; \ud604 \uae08\ub9ac\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc704\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc911\uc559\uac12\uc774 \uc774\uc81c \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. 18\uba85 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 \uc5f0\ub0b4 \uc778\uc0c1, \uadf8\uc911 6\uba85\uc740 2\ud68c\ub97c \ucc0d\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc7a5\uc740 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uace0 \uae09\ub77d \ub9c8\uac10. S&amp;P -1.21%(7,420.10), \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 -1.34%(26,021.66), \ub2e4\uc6b0 -0.98%(51,492.55). MS&middot;\uba54\ud0c0&middot;\uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3&middot;\uc544\ub9c8\uc874 \ube45\ud14c\ud06c\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298(6\/18 \ubaa9)&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-7"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=125"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}