{"id":127,"date":"2026-06-19T01:52:46","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T01:52:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/40.233.122.247\/?p=127"},"modified":"2026-06-19T01:52:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T01:52:46","slug":"2026-06-18-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%8b%9c%ed%99%a9-%ec%b4%9d%ec%a0%95%eb%a6%ac-%eb%82%98%ec%8a%a4%eb%8b%a5%c2%b7sp500-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%95%9c%eb%88%88%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/?p=127","title":{"rendered":"2026.06.18 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \uc2dc\ud669 \ucd1d\uc815\ub9ac \u2014 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\u00b7S&#038;P500 \uc804\ub9dd \ud55c\ub208\uc5d0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>                    <!-- System - START --><\/p>\n<p>        <!-- System - END --><\/p>\n<div class=\"tt_article_useless_p_margin contents_style\">\n<h2>\u26a1 TL;DR<\/h2>\n<ol style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\">\n<li><b>\uc6cc\uc2dc\uc758 \uccab FOMC\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c \ucda9\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/b> \ub3d9\uacb0(3.50~3.75%, 4\uc5f0\uc18d)\uc740 \uc608\uc815\ub300\ub85c\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, <b>\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 18\uba85 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 \uc5f0\ub0b4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\ub2e4<\/b> &mdash; 3\uc6d4\uc758 &#8216;2026\ub144 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558&#8217;\uac00 \ud55c \ubd84\uae30 \ub9cc\uc5d0 &#8216;1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \ub4a4\uc9d1\ud614\ub2e4. \uc131\uba85\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c &#8216;\uc644\ud654 \ud3b8\ud5a5(easing bias)&#8217; \ubb38\uad6c\ub3c4 \uc0ad\uc81c.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \ub9ac\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1.<\/b> S&amp;P -1.21%(7,420.10), \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 -1.34%(26,021.66), \ub2e4\uc6b0 -0.98%(51,492.55&middot;\uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \ubc18\ub0a9). \uc804\ub0a0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ube60\uc84c\ub358 \uc131\uc7a5&middot;\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4\uac00 \uacb0\uad6d \ub354 \ub9de\uc558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc9c4\uc9dc \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac&middot;\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.<\/b> 2\ub144\ubb3c <b>+16bp &rarr; 4.22%<\/b>(1\ub144\uc5ec \ucd5c\uace0), 10\ub144\ubb3c <b>+6.9bp &rarr; 4.50%<\/b>, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 <b>+\uc57d 1%<\/b>(\uadfc 1\ub144 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc77c\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9). &#8220;higher for longer&#8221;\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 <i>&#8220;higher&#8221; \uc790\uccb4<\/i>\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uae08\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uaca9\ud0c4.<\/b> \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 <b>-\uc57d 2%<\/b>, <b>$4,300 \uc544\ub798<\/b>\ub85c. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc5d0 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d(\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 $78~80&middot;WTI ~$77). <b>\uae08\uc694\uc77c(6\/19) \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \ubdd4\ub974\uac90\uc288\ud1a1\uc5d0\uc11c 14\uac1c\ud56d MOU \uc11c\uba85 \uc608\uc815<\/b>.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc624\ub298\uc740 &#8216;\ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774\ub0d0 \ucd94\uc138\ub0d0&#8217; 1\uc77c\ucc28.<\/b> 2\ub144\ubb3c 4.2%\ub300&middot;\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub974\ub294\uc9c0, \uc5b4\uc81c \ub099\ud3ed\uc5d0 \uc800\uac00\ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ubd99\ub294\uc9c0\uac00 \uccb4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8. \uc6cc\uc2dc\uac00 \uc790\uae30 \uc810\uc744 \uc548 \ucc0d\uc5b4 <i>\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \uc804\uccb4<\/i>\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubb34\uac8c\uac00 \uc2e4\ub9b0\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\uc548\ub155\ud558\uc138\uc694, \uce94\uc11c\ubc29\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc804\uc5d0 \ud55c\uad6d&middot;\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ub9c8\uac10\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd&middot;\ubbf8\uad6d \ud504\ub9ac\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984, \uc624\ub298 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcfc \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub97c \uce74\ub4dc 5\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uba3c\uc800 \uc815\ub9ac\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc790\uc138\ud55c \ud574\uc124\uc740 \uce74\ub4dc \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wcs-carousel\">\n<div class=\"wcs-track\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/679dcd9b77498f89.png\" alt=\"\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/8030b792d31a7c1f.png\" alt=\"\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/a6b6937b22645ea2.png\" alt=\"\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/f35ebb9210e99943.png\" alt=\"\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/migrated\/1334ded6968c516f.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/div>\n<div class=\"wcs-count\">1 \/ 5<\/div>\n<p><button class=\"wcs-prev\" aria-label=\"\uc774\uc804\">\u2039<\/button><button class=\"wcs-next\" aria-label=\"\ub2e4\uc74c\">\u203a<\/button><\/p>\n<div class=\"wcs-dots\"><span><\/span><span><\/span><span><\/span><span><\/span><span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>1. \ubbf8\uad6d&middot;\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub9c8\uac10 \uc815\ub9ac (6\/17 ET \ub9c8\uac10)<\/h2>\n<p><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b> 6\/17(\uc218) \ubbf8\uad6d \ub9c8\uac10 &mdash; FOMC \uacb0\uc815 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uc7a5 \ub9c9\ud310 \ub099\ud3ed \ud655\ub300<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\uc9c0\uc218<\/th>\n<th>\uc885\uac00<\/th>\n<th>\ub4f1\ub77d<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>S&amp;P 500<\/td>\n<td>7,420.10<\/td>\n<td><b>-1.21%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc885\ud569<\/td>\n<td>26,021.66<\/td>\n<td><b>-1.34%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\ub2e4\uc6b0<\/td>\n<td>51,492.55 (-507p)<\/td>\n<td><b>-0.98% &middot; \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \ubc18\ub0a9<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b> \uae08\ub9ac&middot;\ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub4f1: <b>2\ub144\ubb3c +16bp &rarr; 4.216%<\/b>(1\ub144\uc5ec \ucd5c\uace0), <b>10\ub144\ubb3c +6.9bp &rarr; 4.497%<\/b>, <b>DXY +\uc57d 1%<\/b>(\uadfc 1\ub144 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc77c\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed).<\/li>\n<li><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b> \uae08 <b>-\uc57d 2%<\/b>, 6\/18 \uc544\uce68 <b>$4,300 \uc544\ub798<\/b>(\uc804\uc77c \uc624\uc804 $4,333 &rarr; \ub9e4\ud30c \ubc18\uc601 \ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d). \uc720\uac00 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d, $78~80&middot;WTI ~$77.<\/li>\n<li><b>[\uad00\uce21]<\/b> \uc6cc\uc2dc \uccab \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac(14:30 ET) \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 <i>\ub2f9\uc77c \uc800\uc810<\/i>\uc744 \ucc0d\uc74c &mdash; \ud68c\uacac \ud1a4\uc774 &#8216;\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc81c\uc555 \uc6b0\uc120&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\uacbd\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b> \uc544\uc2dc\uc544&middot;\ud55c\uad6d (\ucc38\uace0)<\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\uc5b4\uc81c(6\/17) \ud55c\uad6d&middot;\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc740 FOMC <i>\uc774\uc804<\/i>\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10 &rarr; \ub9e4\ud30c \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 <b>\uc624\ub298(6\/18) \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\ubd80\ud130<\/b> \ubcf8\uaca9 \ubc18\uc601. \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc6d0\ud654\uc5d0 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ubd80\ub2f4.<\/li>\n<li><i>(\uad00\uce21 &mdash; KOSPI\ub294 \uc774\ub2ec \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucef8\uc74c. \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec&middot;\ub9e4\ud30c \ucda9\uaca9 \uad6d\uba74\uc774\ub77c \ub2e8\uc77c \uc885\uac00\ub97c \ub2e8\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0, \ub2e4\uc74c PM \ub9ac\ud3ec\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \ud55c\uad6d\uc7a5 \ub9c8\uac10 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778.)<\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>2. \uc624\ub298\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud55c \uac00\uc9c0 &mdash; \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 &#8216;\uc778\ud558&#8217;\uc5d0\uc11c &#8216;\uc778\uc0c1&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \ub4a4\uc9d1\ud614\ub2e4<\/h2>\n<p><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><b>\ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\uc815<\/b>: 3.50~3.75% \uc720\uc9c0, 4\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \ubc18\uc804<\/b>: 3\uc6d4\uc5d4 \uc704\uc6d0 \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 <i>2026\ub144 1\ud68c(-0.25%p) \uc778\ud558<\/i>\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\ub294\ub370, 6\uc6d4\uc5d4 <b>18\uba85 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 \uc5f0\ub0b4 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1<\/b>\uc744 \uc81c\ucd9c. \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \ubc18\ub300\ub85c.<\/li>\n<li><b>\ubb38\uad6c \ubcc0\ud654<\/b>: \uc131\uba85\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c &#8216;\uc644\ud654 \ud3b8\ud5a5(easing bias)&#8217; \uc0ad\uc81c.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc6cc\uc2dc \ubcf8\uc778\uc740 \uc810 \ubbf8\uc81c\ucd9c<\/b> &mdash; \uacfc\uac70 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ud68c\uc758\ub860\ub300\ub85c \uc790\uae30 \ub3c4\ud2b8\ub97c \ub0b4\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>[\ud574\uc11d]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\ud575\uc2ec\uc740 <i>\uae08\ub9ac \ub808\ubca8\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uacbd\ub85c\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658<\/i>\uc774\ub2e4. &#8220;\uc62c\ud574 \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc5c6\ub2e4&#8221;\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 **&#8221;\ud544\uc694\ud558\uba74 \uc62c\ub9b0\ub2e4&#8221;**\uac00 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uc758 \uc808\ubc18 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub3d9\uc548 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub358 \uc790\uc0b0(\uc7a5\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc&middot;\uace0PER \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4)\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ubbfc\uac10 &mdash; \uc5b4\uc81c \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5&middot;\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \ub099\ud3ed\uc774 \uadf8 \uc99d\uac70.<\/li>\n<li>\uc6cc\uc2dc\uac00 \uc790\uae30 \uc810\uc744 \uc548 \ucc0d\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uac74 <i>\uc758\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc778\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c<\/i>\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c <i>\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \ub2e4\uc218\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c<\/i>\ub77c\ub294 \ub73b &rarr; \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc120 \ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c \uc124\ub4dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\ub9b4 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2fb\uc774 \ub354 \ub2e8\ub2e8\ud558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>3. \ubbf8\uad6d \ubcc0\uc218 &mdash; \ucda9\uaca9\uc758 \uc9c4\uc559\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac&middot;\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/h2>\n<p><b>[\uc0ac\uc2e4]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><b>2\ub144\ubb3c +16bp &rarr; 4.22%<\/b>(1\ub144\uc5ec \ucd5c\uace0) &mdash; \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uac00\uc7a5 \uc9c1\uc811 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1. &#8216;\uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305&#8217;\uc758 \uccad\uc0b0.<\/li>\n<li><b>10\ub144\ubb3c +6.9bp &rarr; 4.50%<\/b> &mdash; \ub2e8\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \uc62c\ub77c <b>\ucee4\ube0c \ucd94\uac00 \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654<\/b>(2s10s \ucd95\uc18c). \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 &#8216;\ub2e8\uae30 \uae34\ucd95 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 &rarr; \uacb0\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654&#8217;\ub97c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ud615\uc801 \ud328\ud134.<\/li>\n<li><b>DXY +\uc57d 1%<\/b> &mdash; \uadfc 1\ub144 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc77c\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9. \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc2e0\ud765\uad6d&middot;\uc6d0\ud654&middot;\uc218\ucd9c\uc8fc\uc5d0 \uc5ed\ud48d.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>[\ud574\uc11d]<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\uc9c4\uaddc\uac00 \ubd10\uc57c \ud560 \uadf8\ub9bc: *<i>\uc8fc\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae08\ub9ac&middot;\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 <i>\uc18d\ub3c4<\/i>\uac00 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub2e4.<\/i>* 2\ub144\ubb3c\uc774 4.2%\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uce58\uace0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uba74 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc555\ubc15\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0, \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc624\ub298 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc9c4\uc815\ub418\uba74 \uc5b4\uc81c \ub099\ud3ed\uc740 <i>\uacfc\uc789 \ubc18\uc751<\/i>\uc73c\ub85c \uc77c\ubd80 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. <b>2\ub144\ubb3c\uacfc DXY\uac00 \uc624\ub298\uc758 \ubc14\ub85c\ubbf8\ud130.<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>4. \uac70\uc2dc \ubc30\uacbd &mdash; \uc5f0\uc900&middot;\uc720\uac00&middot;\uae08 \ud2b8\ub77c\uc774\uc575\uae00<\/h2>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><b>\ud83c\udfe6 \uc5f0\uc900(\ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658)<\/b>: \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub418 &#8216;\uc644\ud654 \ud3b8\ud5a5&#8217; \uc0ad\uc81c + \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uc778\uc0c1 \ubc18\uc804. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uccb4\uc81c = \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ucd95\uc18c&middot;\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc81c\uc555 \uc6b0\uc120. \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucd95\uc774 <i>\ub35c \uc644\ud654<\/i>\uc5d0\uc11c <i>\uae34\ucd95 \uc7ac\uac1c \uac00\ub2a5<\/i>\uc73c\ub85c.<\/li>\n<li><b>\ud83d\udee2\ufe0f \uc720\uac00(\uae09\ub77d)<\/b>: \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d $78~80, 3\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uad8c. <b>6\/19(\uae08) \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 14\uac1c\ud56d MOU \uc11c\uba85 \uc608\uc815<\/b>(60\uc77c \ud611\uc0c1 \ud2c0&middot;\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c\ud1b5). \uacf5\uae09 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\uad70.<\/li>\n<li><b>\ud83e\udd47 \uae08(\ub9e4\ud30c \uc9c1\uaca9)<\/b>: -\uc57d 2%, $4,300 \uc544\ub798. \uba85\ubaa9\uae08\ub9ac&middot;\uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd88\ub9ac &mdash; \uc5b4\uc81c\uac00 \uad50\uacfc\uc11c\uc801 \uc0ac\ub840.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>[\ud574\uc11d]<\/b> \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac&middot;\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubc00\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\uace0 \uadf8 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uae08\uc744 \ub20c\ub800\ub2e4. <i>\uc720\uac00\ub9cc<\/i> \uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654\ub85c \ub530\ub85c \ub17c\ub2e4. \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc758 \ub450 \uacbd\ub85c \uc911 <b>&#8216;\uc88b\uc740 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808(\uc720\uac00)&#8217;\ub294 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911<\/b>\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ubcf4\ub294 \uac74 <i>\uc774\ubbf8 \ucc0d\ud78c \uc778\ud50c\ub808(5\uc6d4 4.2%&middot;3\ub144 \ucd5c\uace0)<\/i> &mdash; \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \ub9e4\ud30c\ub97c \ud480 \uba85\ubd84\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc5c6\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>5. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc7a5 (6\/18 ET) \uccb4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8<\/h2>\n<ol style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\">\n<li><b>2\ub144\ubb3c&middot;\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uac00 \ubc29\ud5a5<\/b> &mdash; 2\ub144\ubb3c 4.2%\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uc624\ub974\uace0 DXY\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ubc15. \uc9c4\uc815\ub418\uba74 \uc5b4\uc81c \ub099\ud3ed \uc77c\ubd80 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uc800\uac00\ub9e4\uc218 vs \ucd94\uac00 \ub514\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud0b9<\/b> &mdash; \uc5b4\uc81c \ub099\ud3ed\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ubd99\ub294\uc9c0, \ud2b9\ud788 <b>\uc131\uc7a5&middot;\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4<\/b> \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc758 \ubc14\ub85c\ubbf8\ud130.<\/li>\n<li><b>6\/19(\uae08) \uc774\ub780 MOU \uc11c\uba85 &rarr; \uc720\uac00<\/b> &mdash; \uc11c\uba85 \ucc28\uc9c8&middot;\uc7a1\uc74c \uc2dc \uc720\uac00 \ub418\ud290(\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ud6c4\ud1f4) \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c.<\/li>\n<li><b>\uae08&middot;\uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac<\/b> &mdash; \ub9e4\ud30c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5b4\ub514\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294\uc9c0 \uae08\uc774 \uba3c\uc800 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90c. \uae08\uc774 \uba48\ucd94\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \ub9c9\ubc14\uc9c0 \uc2e0\ud638\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>\uc815\uc815 \uc0ac\ud56d<\/h2>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\uc5c6\uc74c. (\uc5b4\uc81c 6\/17 AM \ub9ac\ud3ec\ud2b8\uc758 FOMC \ud504\ub9ac\ubdf0 &rarr; \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \uc815\uc0c1 \ud655\uc778: &#8216;\uc778\ud558 1\ud68c \uc0ad\uc81c&#8217; \uc608\uc0c1 &rarr; \uc2e4\uc81c\ub294 &#8216;\uc778\uc0c1 1\ud68c&#8217;\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\uc804.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/stock-market-today\/stock-market-today-dow-jones-sp-500-nasdaq-updates-june-17-2026\">TheStreet &mdash; Stock Market Today (June 17, 2026)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/06\/17\/business\/live-news\/federal-reserve-interest-rate-kevin-warsh\">CNN Business &mdash; Fed leaves rates unchanged, signals higher rates ahead (Warsh)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/06\/17\/nx-s1-5860084\/fed-chief-warsh-first-fomc-meeting\">NPR &mdash; Fed holds steady, hints at rate hike later this year (Warsh first FOMC)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/news\/dow-jones-industrial-average-surrenders-a-record-as-the-fed-turns-hawkish-202606171918\">FXStreet &mdash; Dow surrenders a record as the Fed turns hawkish<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiae.co.kr\/en\/article\/2026061806140628326\">Asia Business Daily &mdash; Warsh&#8217;s First FOMC Delivers Hawkish Tone; Markets Close Sharply Lower<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/article\/price-of-oil-06-17-2026\/\">Fortune &mdash; Current price of oil as of June 17, 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/article\/current-price-of-gold-06-17-2026\/\">Fortune &mdash; Current price of gold, June 17, 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/06\/15\/nx-s1-5858590\/us-iran-deal-updates\">NPR &mdash; US and Iran announce initial deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/jobless-claims\">TradingEconomics &mdash; US Initial Jobless Claims<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p><b>\ud83d\udccc \uc9c0\ub09c \uc2dc\ud669\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ubcf4\uae30<\/b><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/category\/%EB%AF%B8%EA%B5%AD%20%EC%9E%A5%EC%A0%84%20%EC%8B%9C%ED%99%A9\">\ubbf8\uad6d \uc7a5\uc804 \uc2dc\ud669 \ubaa8\uc544\ubcf4\uae30<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/category\/%ED%95%9C%EA%B5%AD%20%EC%9E%A5%EC%A0%84%20%EC%8B%9C%ED%99%A9\">\ud55c\uad6d \uc7a5\uc804 \uc2dc\ud669 \ubaa8\uc544\ubcf4\uae30<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\u203b \uc774 \uae00\uc740 \ud22c\uc790 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub3d5\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\ucc30&middot;\uc815\ub9ac\uc774\uba70, \ud2b9\uc815 \uc885\ubaa9\uc758 \ub9e4\uc218&middot;\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ucd94\ucc9c\uc774 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900\uc774\uba70 \ucd9c\ucc98\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\uc168\ub2e4\uba74 \uc544\ub798 \uad11\uace0 \ud55c \ubc88 \ub20c\ub7ec\uc8fc\uc2dc\uba74 \ube14\ub85c\uadf8 \uc6b4\uc601\uc5d0 \ud070 \ud798\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud83d\ude4f<\/p>\n<p><b>I can survive. We can survive.<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>                    <!-- System - START --><\/p>\n<p>        <!-- System - END --><\/p>\n<p><!-- inventory --><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u26a1 TL;DR \uc6cc\uc2dc\uc758 \uccab FOMC\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c \ucda9\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uacb0(3.50~3.75%, 4\uc5f0\uc18d)\uc740 \uc608\uc815\ub300\ub85c\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 18\uba85 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 \uc5f0\ub0b4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\ub2e4 &mdash; 3\uc6d4\uc758 &#8216;2026\ub144 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558&#8217;\uac00 \ud55c \ubd84\uae30 \ub9cc\uc5d0 &#8216;1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \ub4a4\uc9d1\ud614\ub2e4. \uc131\uba85\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c &#8216;\uc644\ud654 \ud3b8\ud5a5(easing bias)&#8217; \ubb38\uad6c\ub3c4 \uc0ad\uc81c. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \ub9ac\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1. S&amp;P -1.21%(7,420.10), \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 -1.34%(26,021.66), \ub2e4\uc6b0 -0.98%(51,492.55&middot;\uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \ubc18\ub0a9). \uc804\ub0a0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ube60\uc84c\ub358 \uc131\uc7a5&middot;\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4\uac00 \uacb0\uad6d \ub354 \ub9de\uc558\ub2e4. \uc9c4\uc9dc \uc2e0\ud638\ub294&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":128,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-127","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-5"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=127"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/128"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=127"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=127"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wecansurvive.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=127"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}